Getafe is currently facing significant challenges in La Liga, sitting as the second lowest scorers in the Spanish top flight with just 20 goals from an expected goals (xG) total of 18.7. The team has struggled particularly in away matches against top five clubs, losing all three encounters without managing to score.
In their recent outings, Getafe has been unable to find the back of the net against Real Madrid, having been beaten to nil in each of their last four meetings. This lack of scoring has raised concerns as the club’s primary objective remains avoiding relegation.
Despite these struggles, Getafe did secure back-to-back wins over Alaves and Villarreal in February, which helped them reach mid-table with a total of 41 points. Mauro Arambarri has been a standout player for the team, leading as the top scorer with six goals in 30 appearances.
As they prepare for their next match against Real Madrid, the odds suggest a low-scoring affair, with predictions indicating only two goals in total. The odds for Real Madrid to win without both teams scoring stand at 1.81, while under 2.5 goals is set at 2.00.
Vinicius Junior, who has scored six times in his last five appearances, is expected to play a crucial role for Real Madrid. Observers note that Getafe’s ambitions may be slightly boosted by the news of Kylian Mbappe’s injury, which could impact Real Madrid’s attacking strength.
Historically, ten of the last eleven meetings between Real Madrid and Getafe have ended with two or fewer goals, reinforcing the expectation for a tight contest. Given this record, many analysts suggest that backing under 2.5 goals is a prudent bet for this matchup.
Real Madrid looks poised to win this game without conceding, with an implied probability of 52.6%. As Getafe continues to navigate through a challenging season, the focus remains on securing points to avoid relegation.
Details remain unconfirmed regarding any potential changes in Getafe’s strategy as they look to improve their scoring record and overall performance in the league.