Support for democracy in South Africa has decreased significantly since 2008, with the African National Congress (ANC) losing its majority share in the 2024 general election and entering into a coalition government. This shift reflects a broader trend where demand for democracy is heavily influenced by government performance and citizens’ economic conditions.
Recent data indicates that the ANC’s share of the vote in Johannesburg dropped from 44.5% in 2016 to just 33.6% in 2021. This decline is compounded by a reported 15% increase in high-voltage outages by City Power, which has faced severe financial difficulties, including an overdraft of R19.6 billion and liabilities totaling R30.099 billion.
Corruption and poor service delivery have dampened enthusiasm for democracy, with citizens dissatisfied with the government’s economic performance showing a higher demand for democratic governance. As one observer noted, “Support for democracy rests on a range of foundations,” emphasizing the critical link between government effectiveness and public trust.
Interestingly, unemployed individuals exhibit less commitment to democracy compared to those who are working or economically inactive. This suggests that economic stability plays a crucial role in fostering democratic values among the populace.
The quality of elections also remains a strong influence on democratic demand, with racial minorities now less likely than Black citizens to demand democracy, reversing previous trends. Furthermore, increased internet use and traditional media consumption are positively associated with democratic engagement.
In Johannesburg, the crisis in infrastructure and governance has become increasingly evident. “The networks that drive a city – electricity, water and transport – are all in crisis,” highlighting the urgent need for effective governance to restore public confidence.
As South Africa navigates these challenges, observers are left questioning whether the demand for democracy will continue to be performance-driven. The situation remains fluid, and details remain unconfirmed regarding potential reforms or shifts in public sentiment.
Overall, the landscape of democracy in South Africa is at a critical juncture, with the performance of the government playing a pivotal role in shaping the future of democratic engagement among its citizens.
